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  "Title": "Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions",
  "Description": "Provides Bayesian estimation and forecasting of dynamic\npanel data using Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions with\nhierarchical prior distributions. The models include\ncountry-specific Vector Autoregressions (VARs) that share a\nglobal prior distribution that extend the model by Jarociński\n(2010) <doi:10.1002/jae.1082>. Under this prior expected value,\neach country's system follows a global VAR with\ncountry-invariant parameters. Further flexibility is provided\nby the hierarchical prior structure that retains the Minnesota\nprior interpretation for the global VAR and features estimated\nprior covariance matrices, shrinkage, and persistence levels.\nBayesian forecasting is developed for models including\nexogenous variables, allowing conditional forecasts given the\nfuture trajectories of some variables and restricted forecasts\nassuring that rates are forecasted to stay positive and less\nthan 100. The package implements the model specification,\nestimation, and forecasting routines, facilitating coherent\nworkflows and reproducibility. It also includes automated\npseudo-out-of-sample forecasting and computation of forecasting\nperformance measures. Beautiful plots, informative summary\nfunctions, and extensive documentation complement all this.\nExtraordinary computational speed is achieved thanks to\nemploying frontier econometric and numerical techniques and\nalgorithms written in 'C++'. The 'bpvars' package is aligned\nregarding objects, workflows, and code structure with the 'R'\npackages 'bsvars' by Woźniak (2024)\n<doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.bsvars> and 'bsvarSIGNs' by Wang &\nWoźniak (2025) <doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.bsvarSIGNs>, and they\nconstitute an integrated toolset. Copyright: 2025 International\nLabour Organization. The International Labour Organization\nshould not be held responsible for any issues arising from the\nuse of the 'bpvars' package or from the results obtained with\nit.",
  "Version": "1.0.0.9000",
  "Date": "2025-12-12",
  "Authors@R": "c(\nperson(given=\"Tomasz\", family=\"Woźniak\", email=\"wozniak.tom@pm.me\", role = c(\"aut\", \"cre\"), comment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0003-2212-2378\")),\nperson(given=\"Miguel\", family=\"Sanchez-Martinez\", role = \"ctb\"),\nperson(given=\"International Labour Organization\", role = \"cph\", comment = \"The International Labour Organization should not be held responsible for any issues arising from the use of the 'bpvars' package or from the results obtained with it.\")\n)",
  "Maintainer": "Tomasz Woźniak <wozniak.tom@pm.me>",
  "License": "GPL (>= 3)",
  "URL": "https://bsvars.org/bpvars/",
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